Gillingham vs Cambridge United prediction

Why this pick?

Gillingham's five listed league results were 3-0, 2-0, 4-1, 1-1 and 1-1; each had at least two goals. Cambridge's four listed recent league results were 2-1, 2-2, 2-1 and 1-2; each had at least two goals. PokerStars listed regulation-time Over 1.5 goals at 1.22 on its current fixture market. Main risk: EFL Trophy rotation may materially lower the reliability of recent league scoring form.