Ijsselmeervogels vs Gemert prediction

Why this pick?

IJsselmeervogels are at home and were one of the Tweede Divisie clubs given a bye into this qualifying round. Gemert are identified by IJsselmeervogels as a Derde Divisie side. Gemert won 2-0 away at FC 's-Gravenzande in the previous qualifying round. Bovada's currently listed regulation 1X2 price is 1.29 on IJsselmeervogels. Main risk: Gemert arrive with a verified away cup victory, while IJsselmeervogels' cup readiness is less directly observable after their bye.